“We can’t base our choices on averages because the very fact that you need to fire a gun to survive means that you’re already in a statistically improbable situation. There’s no such thing as a ‘statistically average aberration of the statistics.’ Better to prepare for the worst case scenario.”Massad Ayoob, “”The Semi-Auto Advantage,” Guns Digest (Spring 2015), p. 17.
Another quote found in my “Pascal’s Wager” folder of notes for my book. We know from decision science that determining a rational response to a low odds, high stakes event is difficult. Hence Ayoob’s conclusion to prepare for the worst, even as we hope for the best.
Or as John Johnston told my students, “No one NEEDS a gun . . . until they do.”
Spend your risk currency wisely.